Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.8%
Cittadella
26.2%
Draw
60.0%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Cittadella
vs
1.65
Monza
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.4%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).