Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Ferrol
30.6%
Draw
43.8%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Ferrol
vs
1.14
Eldense
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).