Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.9%
Arsenal
8.6%
Draw
2.5%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
3.39
Arsenal
vs
0.54
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
4-0
10.8%
5-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
4.1%
5-1
4.0%
0-0
2.4%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).