Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Reading
22.3%
Draw
20.0%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Reading
vs
0.85
Wigan
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).