Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Everton
19.0%
Draw
6.1%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Everton
vs
0.50
Southampton
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.4%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
11.8%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-0
2.7%
0-1
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).