Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Zaragoza
33.9%
Draw
37.1%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Zaragoza
vs
0.91
Burgos
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.549.9%
Over 2.523.7%
Over 3.59.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.5%
0-1
17.1%
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).