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DHT: 11CSV

17 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.8%
Venezia
21.9%
Draw
16.3%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Venezia

vs
1.02

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
4-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).