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24 Aug 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.0%
Preußen Münster
29.1%
Draw
36.9%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Preußen Münster

vs
1.31

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).