Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Augsburg
23.5%
Draw
12.5%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Augsburg
vs
0.67
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).