Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Cosenza
24.7%
Draw
62.2%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Cosenza
vs
1.77
Monza
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).