Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Plymouth
24.1%
Draw
53.7%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Plymouth
vs
1.90
Norwich
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).