Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Lugo
30.5%
Draw
40.0%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Lugo
vs
1.09
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).