Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Auxerre
30.2%
Draw
42.5%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Auxerre
vs
1.12
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.3%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).