⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 01CSV

23 May 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
42.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
27.6%
Draw
30.3%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Erzgebirge Aue

vs
1.25

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).