Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.7%
Dortmund
17.0%
Draw
10.3%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Dortmund
vs
0.86
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).