Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.6%
Nantes
24.5%
Draw
49.9%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Nantes
vs
1.51
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).