Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
Shrewsbury
14.8%
Draw
77.5%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Shrewsbury
vs
2.27
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.6%
0-1
14.4%
0-3
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
1-1
6.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.6%
0-5
3.0%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).