⚽ FootballData
0 – 2
AHT: 00CSV

07 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
30.9%
Gateshead
26.3%
Draw
42.8%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Gateshead

vs
1.60

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).