Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Livingston
30.9%
Draw
29.3%
Falkirk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Livingston
vs
1.14
Falkirk
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).