Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Rio Ave
25.1%
Draw
26.2%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Rio Ave
vs
1.00
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).