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12 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.9%
Cove Rangers
22.4%
Draw
59.7%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Cove Rangers

vs
2.02

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.536.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
9.0%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).