Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Barnsley
19.5%
Draw
21.8%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Barnsley
vs
1.16
Northampton
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).