Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Chievo
30.6%
Draw
23.1%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Chievo
vs
0.87
Brescia
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).