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21 Feb 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Raków Częstochowa
28.3%
Draw
19.1%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.80

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).