Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Norwich
23.0%
Draw
21.5%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Norwich
vs
1.20
Leicester
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).