Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.3%
Mechelen
18.6%
Draw
9.1%
Seraing
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Mechelen
vs
0.65
Seraing
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
12.3%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).