Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
AFC Wimbledon
25.3%
Draw
29.3%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.01
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).