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26 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.2%
Burnley
14.3%
Draw
3.4%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.32

Burnley

vs
0.33

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS25.4%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
19.1%
1-0
16.1%
3-0
14.8%
4-0
8.6%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
1-1
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
5-0
4.0%
4-1
2.8%
0-1
1.9%
5-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).