Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Sheffield United
22.4%
Draw
13.9%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Sheffield United
vs
0.81
Reading
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).