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17 Aug 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.3%
Angers
30.8%
Draw
27.9%
Paris FC

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Angers

vs
0.82

Paris FC

Markets

BTTS36.4%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.5%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).