Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.4%
Bury
25.7%
Draw
21.0%
Celtic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Bury
vs
0.81
Celtic
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).