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AHT: 02CSV

30 Jan 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.5%
Lamia
32.9%
Draw
40.6%
Ionikos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Lamia

vs
1.14

Ionikos

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.7%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).