Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Cremonese
25.0%
Draw
18.7%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Cremonese
vs
0.97
Livorno
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
2.9%
0-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).