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26 Aug 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.7%
Auxerre
19.7%
Draw
14.6%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Auxerre

vs
0.74

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).