Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Montpellier
21.5%
Draw
53.5%
Saint-Étienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Montpellier
vs
1.86
Saint-Étienne
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).