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DHT: 11

28 Sept 2024 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.7%
Legia Warszawa
29.5%
Draw
25.7%
Górnik Zabrze

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Legia Warszawa

vs
0.98

Górnik Zabrze

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).