Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Sampdoria
35.5%
Draw
30.5%
Ascoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Sampdoria
vs
0.87
Ascoli
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.555.0%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
13.1%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).