Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Lugo
29.7%
Draw
42.6%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Lugo
vs
1.17
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.0%
0-3
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).