Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Arouca
25.1%
Draw
47.6%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Arouca
vs
1.76
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS60.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).