Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Stevenage
28.1%
Draw
27.2%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Stevenage
vs
0.88
Crewe
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).