Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Spezia
28.2%
Draw
28.5%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Spezia
vs
0.96
Monza
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).