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DHT: 11CSV

22 Aug 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.0%
Waregem
25.4%
Draw
39.6%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Waregem

vs
1.57

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).