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AHT: 02CSV

11 Apr 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.2%
Wolfsburg
22.3%
Draw
52.5%
RB Leipzig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Wolfsburg

vs
2.10

RB Leipzig

Markets

BTTS67.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
0-1
5.5%
2-3
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).