Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Queens Park Rangers
26.7%
Draw
41.0%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.54
Derby
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).