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19 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.3%
Antalyaspor
26.1%
Draw
62.6%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Antalyaspor

vs
1.92

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
1-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).