Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Gillingham
24.1%
Draw
30.9%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Gillingham
vs
1.22
Sutton
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).