Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Portsmouth
30.8%
Draw
42.9%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Portsmouth
vs
1.25
Millwall
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).