Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Milton Keynes Dons
19.1%
Draw
14.2%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.82
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).