Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Malaga
23.1%
Draw
16.1%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Malaga
vs
0.75
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).