Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Notts County
27.8%
Draw
25.6%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Notts County
vs
0.86
Accrington
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).